Discover what prediction markets reveal about politics, AI, crypto and the world ahead.
Live odds, comparisons and Bloomberg-grade analysis from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and every regulated event-derivatives venue on Earth.
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Will the Democrats win the 2028 US presidential election?
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 before 2028?
Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?
Will GPT-6 be released in 2026?
Will US Q3 2026 GDP growth exceed 2.5%?
Will the Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Live prediction markets from Polymarket, Kalshi & Manifold
Prediction markets news & analysis
All analysis →Polymarket Traders Cut Fed Rate Cut Odds, Boost Bitcoin $200K Bet Amid AI Enthusiasm
Prediction markets on Polymarket saw notable shifts over the past 24 hours, with traders increasingly betting against an immediate Federal Reserve rate cut while raising the probability of Bitcoin hitting $200,000. Enthusiasm for AI advance
Crypto Soars: BTC $200K Odds Jump as AI Bets Rise, Fed Cut Hopes Fade
Prediction markets across TomorrowAlpha saw significant movement in the last 24 hours, with a notable surge in optimism for Bitcoin's future price and continued robust interest in the trajectory of artificial intelligence. While these specu
Fed Rate Cut Odds Dip to 64% as GPT-6 Release Probability Jumps 5.8%
Prediction markets saw significant shifts over the past 24 hours, with the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOMC meeting declining, while optimism for advanced AI milestones, particularly the release of GPT-6, gained tr
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; Bitcoin Targets $200K as AI Bets Heat Up
Prediction markets showed a mixed bag of movements over the last 24 hours, with significant shifts in both macroeconomic and technology sectors. The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at its next FOMC meeting saw a notable decrease,
Polymarket Traders Lower Fed Rate Cut Odds to 64% as Bitcoin Targets $200K, AI Bets Rise
Prediction markets saw a dynamic 24-hour period, with traders pulling back slightly on expectations for an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut while simultaneously increasing their conviction on ambitious AI and crypto milestones. Betting vol
GPT-6 Release Odds Jump to 27%, Fed Rate Cut Chances Slip to 64%
Prediction markets saw significant movement over the past 24 hours, with a notable surge in the perceived likelihood of GPT-6's release in 2026, alongside a slight dip in expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut. High-volume ma
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What is a prediction market?
How they work, who uses them, why the prices move.
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Two leading platforms, two very different regulators.
Are prediction markets legal in the US?
Kalshi is CFTC-regulated; Polymarket geo-blocks US IPs.
Prediction markets in the UK
What Smarkets and Betfair Exchange offer instead.
EU access and MiCA
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