Discover what prediction markets reveal about politics, AI, crypto and the world ahead.
Live odds, comparisons and Bloomberg-grade analysis from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and every regulated event-derivatives venue on Earth.
Live Market Feed // TRND_03
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US presidential election?
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 before 2028?
Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?
Will GPT-6 be released in 2026?
Will US Q3 2026 GDP growth exceed 2.5%?
Will the Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Live prediction markets from Polymarket, Kalshi & Manifold
Prediction markets news & analysis
All analysis →Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; Bitcoin Targets $200K as AI Market Heats Up
Prediction markets saw a mixed bag of movements over the past 24 hours, with a notable dip in the likelihood of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut and continued optimism for Bitcoin's long-term trajectory. AI-related markets also showed s
Fed Rate-Cut Odds Fall, Bitcoin $200K Hopes Rise Amidst AI Market Buzz
Prediction markets saw significant movement today, with traders adjusting expectations for Federal Reserve policy, the future of cryptocurrency, and the pace of AI development. The probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting decl
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; Bitcoin Targets $200K as AI Market Heats Up
Prediction markets saw a mixed bag of movements over the last 24 hours, with a notable dip in the likelihood of an imminent Fed rate cut, coupled with an uptick in Bitcoin's long-term price targets and increased optimism around AI developme
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; Bitcoin Targets $200K as AI Market Heats Up
Prediction markets saw significant shifts in the last 24 hours, with traders growing less optimistic about an upcoming Federal Reserve rate cut. Simultaneously, confidence in Bitcoin's long-term price potential gained traction, while the AI
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; Bitcoin Pushes to 38% for $200K Before 2028
Prediction markets saw a notable dip in the likelihood of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut today, while sentiment around Bitcoin's ambitious price target gained momentum. Concerns over persistent inflation and a robust labor market appe
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slip to 64%; AI Model Forecasts Rise; Bitcoin Hits $200K Before 2028: 38%
Prediction markets saw significant shifts today, with the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOMC meeting decreasing, while forecasts for AI advancements and Bitcoin's price surge before 2028 climbed. The most active mark
Start here
What is a prediction market?
How they work, who uses them, why the prices move.
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Two leading platforms, two very different regulators.
Are prediction markets legal in the US?
Kalshi is CFTC-regulated; Polymarket geo-blocks US IPs.
Prediction markets in the UK
What Smarkets and Betfair Exchange offer instead.
EU access and MiCA
Why Polymarket geo-blocks most of Europe — and what comes next.
Country-by-country guide
Availability and regulation in 10+ jurisdictions.